叙利亚危机:俄罗斯的目标、策略和结果

Syria Crisis: Russia's Goal, Strategy and Consequence

俄罗斯在叙利亚的直接干预,在战术上显示了很高的水平,但在战略上并不是很成功。俄罗斯不仅没有达成主要目标,改善和美国为首的西方国家的关系,反而扩大了和土耳其、沙特等地区大国的分歧,恶化了其南部地缘政治环境。石油价格继续保持低迷,俄罗斯的国家形象也未得到改善,俄在全球和中东地区仍然处在被动局面。俄罗斯战略不太成功的主要原因在于其脆弱的经济基础及较为个人化的决策模式。

Russia's direct intervention in Syria has tactically achieved to some extent, but completely failed in its strategy. Russia not only did not reach themain goal to improve its relations with the Western countries led by America,but expanded contradictory differences with Turkey, Saudi Arabia and other regional powers, and worsened its southern geopolitical environment. Oil prices remain in the doldrums and Russia's national image has not been improved.Russia is still in passivity in the Middle East and the world. The main reasons for the failure of Russia's Syrian strategy lie in its fragile economy and exclusively personal decision-making mechanism.