宁夏清水河产业带新型城镇化与房地产业耦合发展空间分析

A Spatial Analysis of Coupling Development of New Urbanization and Real Estate Industry in the Qingshuihe Industrial Zone in Ningxia

为研究城市化发展过程中新型城镇化与房地产业的协调性问题,以新型城镇化与房地产业耦合发展为视角,建立宁夏清水河产业带新型城镇化与房地产业发展耦合度评价指标体系,借助耦合协调度模型与耦合发展度模型,对该区10个县(区)单元的新型城镇化与房地产业发展的耦合关系进行空间分析。结果表明:(1)研究区新型城镇化与房地产业整体协调度处于磨合阶段,系统之间相互作用与影响力显著,但并没有达到协调水平,协调度最高的是同心县,最低的是红寺堡区;(2)新型城镇化与房地产业整体发展度处于中等水平,且空间格局差异较大,耦合发展度最高的是沙坡头区,最低的是红寺堡区;(3)依据耦合协调度与发展度的组合可将研究区新型城镇化与房地产业发展耦合关系分为高发展协调区、高发展磨合区、中发展拮抗区、低发展拮抗区4种类型。在未来新型城镇化建设过程中,政府应因城因地采取差别化的房地产宏观调控政策,促进房地产业发展与新型城镇化建设的协调发展。

The paper aims to study the coordination between new urbanization and real estate in the course of urbanization.Based on the coupling development of new urbanization and real estate industry,an evaluation index system for the coupling of new urbanization and real estate development in the Qingshuihe industrial zone in Ningxia was established.With the help of the coupling coordination model and coupling development model,a spatial analysis of the coupling of new urbanization and real estate development in 10 counties(districts)of the area was conducted.The results show that:(1)the overall coordination between the new urbanization and the real estate industry in the study area is in a running-in phase,the interaction between the systems is significant but has not reached the coordination level,the highest coordination degree is found in Tongxin and the lowest is in Hongsipu;(2)the overall development degree of new urbanization and real estate industry is at a medium level and the spatial pattern varies greatly,the highest coupling development degree is in Shapotou,and the lowest is in Hongsipu;(3)the combination of the coupling coordination degree and the development degree can be divided into four major types according the coupling relationship between the new urbanization and the development of the real estate industry in the study area:high development coordination area,high development running-in area,middle development antagonistic zone and low development antagonistic zone.It is suggested that the government should adopt a differentiated real estate macro-control policy to promote the coordination between the development of the real estate industry and the new urbanization.