京津冀人才资源配置政策仿真和优化路径研究

Research on Simulation and Optimization Path of Talent Resources Allocation Policy in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Area

合理配置人才资源直接关系到京津冀区域的协同发展。本文通过构建京津冀人才资源配置的系统动力学模型,运用VENSIM软件对京津冀区域人才资源配置进行动态模拟与预测,从经济发展等5个方面设定了13种政策仿真方案,分析了不同政策方案的仿真结果。研究发现,调整环境层面子系统的各项要素对系统优化作用最明显,尤其是第三产业对京津冀人才资源配置系统优化作用明显,增加教育投资对人才资源配置的优化作用要高于对科技创新的投资。由此,提出了优化产业结构等4条优化京津冀人才资源配置的对策与建议。

This paper constructed a system dynamics model of talent allocation in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei. It used the VENSIM software to do dynamics simulation and forecasting development gap between Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei has seriously hindered the effective ?ow of talent allocation, the identi?cation of the key factors of Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei talent allocation and allocation model of Beijing and Tianjin is of great signi?cance for promoting the coordinated development. Based on the existing research, this article analyzes the relevant news reports by text content analysis. The results show that the in?uencing factors system mainly includes 12 key in?uencing factors at three levels-regional environment, organizational climate and individual willingness. Through comprehensive cluster analysis, it concludes three Class talent allocation model named catch-up type, development type and aggressive type. The results have some reference value for the relevant policies of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region area.