“一带一路”(中国段)入境旅游空间结构演化研究——基于非均衡协调发展视角

Evolution Mechanism of Inbound Tourism Spatial Construction in One Belt and One Road——Based on Unbalanced and Harmonious Development

基于非均衡协调发展理论,选取2006—2015年"一带一路"入境旅游经济数据作为衡量"一带一路"(中国段)入境旅游空间结构演化的重要指标,运用入境旅游经济发展水平和产业地位、首位度指数、EG指数、Zipf指数、局部空间自相关分析等方法,从整体—局部(子区域)—个体(省域)的角度研究了"一带一路"(中国段)入境旅游空间差异性与协调性特征。结果表明:①"一带一路"非均衡状态与协调倾向并存,总体非均衡与局部协调并存;②区域入境旅游发展成熟度与区域空间结构合理性呈正相关,即入境旅游发展越成熟的区域,省域间入境旅游发展越协调;③高高型区域、高低波动型区域、低低型区域三大区域入境旅游空间集聚类型差异明显;④区域入境旅游发展成熟度与区域空间显著相关的省域数量呈负相关,即低低型区域空间显著相关的省域数量多于高低波动型区域和高高型区域。

Based on the theory of unbalanced and harmonious development,this paper selected inbound tourism economic data from2006 to 2015 of One Belt and One Road as an important index to measure the evolution of the spatial structure of inbound tourism in the Belt and Road,and used methods of inbound tourism economic development level,industrial status,the first degree index,the Ellison-Glaeser index,the Zipf index and Local Moran’s I to study the spatial difference and coordination characteristics of inbound tourism of the Belt and Road in China from the perspective of'whole-part( sub-region)-individual( province) '. The conclusions were as follows: ①The unbalanced and harmonious tendency of One Belt and One Road coexisted,and the overall imbalance existed with local coordination. ②The maturity of regional inbound tourism was positively correlated with the rationality of regional spatial structure,that was,the more mature region of inbound tourism was,the more harmonious the development of inbound tourism was. ③There were obvious differences in spatial cluster type of inbound tourism between high-high fluctuation region,high-low fluctuation region and low-low fluctuation region. ④The maturity of inbound tourism was negative correlation with the quantity of LISA significant provinces of local region,that was,the number of provinces significantly correlated with low-low fluctuation region was more than that of high-low fluctuation region and high-high fluctuation region.