未来的世界更安全吗——关于四种世界安全论的评析

Will the Future World Be More Secure? Comment on four political theories of world security

世界未来的安全问题 ,是国际政治学界的基本问题之一。国内外关于未来世界安全的四种常见理论观点主要是多极体系稳定论、自由经济稳定论、民主稳定论和理性稳定论 ,常用以论证“世界未来更加安全”的这四种观点存在相当的谬误 ,在一个多极体系与相互依存日益发展的世界中所潜藏的危机。因此 ,对未来世界的安全问题应当予以高度关注 ,保持必要的警惕。

The issue of future world's security is one of the basic topics of the international politics .This paper analyses and criticizes the four political myths on world security, and stresses that the world hides more dangers with the developments of multipolar system and interdependence. The author considers that the four theories are preposterous, so that we should pay more attention on the world real politics so as to keep the world's security as long as possible.