灰色马尔可夫链在混凝土疲劳寿命预测中的应用

Application of grey markov Chain model in prediction fatigue life of concrete

本文在灰色预测的基础上,引入马尔可夫链预测,建立起了灰色马尔可夫链预测模型。对混凝土疲劳寿命的实验数据进行预测,得到了精度较高的预测结果。证明了利用灰色马尔可夫链对混凝土疲劳寿命进行预测是一种行之有效的新方法。

A Grey Markov Model is presented by means of bombining Grey system with dispersed Markov Chains theory.The Grey-Markov Model for predicting fatigue life of concrete was established.The comparison between the predicition result,which has a satisfing precison,and experiments by other author has been made in this paper.It is shown that this predicting method by Grey-Markov Model was easy to implement,and which is a new method in fatigue life prediction of concrete.