虚拟经济与实体经济发展的阶段效应及关系研究

Study on the Stage Effect and the Relationship between Fictitious Economy and Real Economy

作为新经济的一种重要形态,虚拟经济不仅对实体经济具有极大的依赖性,而且在其不同发展阶段对实体经济产生巨大的反作用,突出地表现在递增效应、溢出效应、异化效应和挤出效应上。由于当前虚拟经济的发展规模已经大大超过实体经济,并逐渐在向异化效应的方向发展,因此,采取有效措施防止虚拟经济进一步趋向膨胀阶段,最大限度地消除"挤出效应",乃是各国宏观经济管理部门的当务之急。

As an important form of the New Economy, the fictitious economy has experienced four stages in its development. Not only does it rely on the real economy deeply, but also it has huge retroactions on the real economy, due to its characteristic in the circulation. These retroactions are as follows: the increasing effect, the overflow effect, the dissimilation effect and the extrusion effect. Since at present the scale of the fictitious economy is lager than that of the real economy and it is going toward the stage of dissimilation effect gradually, it is urgent for the governments at all levels to take up necessary steps to prevent the fictitious economy from tending to the stage of expanding and to minimize its extrusion effect.