中国棉花生产波动的原因与对策

通过考察自改革开放以来中国棉花产量的演变过程 ,说明中国棉花生产具有周期性波动特征。利用所建立的“需求乘数”模型 ,对棉花生产的波动原因从产业链角度进行解释。在此基础上 ,提出棉花生产稳定发展的对策思路。

This paper has introduced the developing process of China cotton production since reform and opening,which makes it clear that Chinese cotton production has an cyclicity undulation feature. Utilizing a model of demand multiplier,this paper has explained the reason of the undulation from the view of industrial chain. Based upon it,this paper has raised the countermeasure about how to stabilize cotton development.