摘要
某导弹的飞行任务可靠度,原来评定得偏低.本文基于贝叶斯(Bayes)理论,以B(0,0)作为验前分布,按可靠性增长观点评定该导弹的飞行任务可靠度.在置信度为0.7时,可靠度单侧置信下限为0.900,大大高于原来评估的0.730。
The flight mission reliability of some type of missile was underestimated previously. Based on the Bayesian theoiy, taking B(0, 0) as a prior distribution, the flight mission reliability of the missile has been estimated according to the standpoint of reliability growth When the confidence is 70 percent, the lower limit of the reliability for single side confidence is 0.900, which is much higher than the previous value of 0.730.
出处
《战术导弹技术》
1992年第3期10-14,共5页
Tactical Missile Technology
关键词
导弹
可靠性
飞行
Missile
Reliability
Flight mission reliability
