基于R/S分析的异值时刻预测

Unusual-value time Prediction Based on R/S Analysis

利用R/S分析的原理和方法,根据异值时刻序列的特殊性,通过计算H指数,建立了平均值yn与Rn/Sn和n的关系式,最后以太阳黑子极大年为例,预测2003年为一个太阳黑子极大年,证明R/S分析方法是异值时刻预测的一种可行方法。

In this paper,H exponent is calculated,and relational expression of R_n/S_n and n is established by means of the principle and method of R/S analysis.The application of example prove that the method of R/S analysis is a efficient way of unusual-value time prediction.