伊朗核问题及其走势

The Iran Nuclear Issue and Its Tendencies

伊朗在秘密建造核设施的消息引起国际社会尤其是美国的强烈反应。美国认为 ,伊朗现政权一旦获取核武器 ,便会导致核武器失控 ,必将对美国主导下的中东地区安全和稳定乃至美国的国家利益构成威胁。美国遂频频敦促或联合国际社会不断向伊朗施压 ,要求其立即无条件签署《不扩散核武器条约》附加议定书 ;加紧向俄罗斯施压 ,促使其停止与伊朗的核合作 ;采取一系列措施试图促使伊朗政权发生变化。伊朗方面则主要设法与国际原子能机构以及欧盟建立信任和透明关系 ,防止核问题成为美国或以色列打击伊朗的把柄 ;利用利润可观的核合作项目 ,紧紧拉住俄罗斯 ,以抵御来自美国的威胁 ;在国际社会重压下 ,最终同意签署附加议定书。

The news that Iran is secretly building nuclear facilities has aroused intensive reactions from the international community, especial from the U.S., who believes that once the present Iranian regime acquires nuclear weapons, it will lead to their proliferation and become a menace to the U.S.-maintained security and stability in the Middle East and even to America's state interests. The United States frequently urged or united with the international community to force Iran to sign unconditionally the Additional Protocol, compelled Russia to stop its nuclear cooperation with Iran and took measures in its attempts to change present Iranian regime. On the other hand, Iran managed to establish a trustworthy and transparent relationship with International Atomic Energy Agency and the European Union in order to prevent the nuclear issue from becoming an excuse for U.S. or Israel to strike against it; meanwhile, through lucrative nuclear cooperation program, Iran cooperated closely with Russia in order to resist threats from the U.S.