经济发展战略对劳均资本积累和技术进步的影响——基于中国经验的实证研究

The Effects of Development Strategy on Capital Accumulation and Technological Progress: An Empirical Analysis of Chinese Experience

本文引入“同一时刻各经济体面对的技术前沿各不相同”的假定 ,改进了现有的数据包络分析方法 ,并用该方法将 1 978— 2 0 0 0年中国 2 9个省区市的劳均GDP增长分解为技术效率变化、技术进步和劳均资本积累三个因素的贡献。之后 ,在Barro回归的基础上 ,通过控制发展战略的特征 ,检验了林毅夫归纳的发展战略对资本积累和技术进步影响的两个假说。检验结果表明 。

Based on the assumption that each individual economy has its own technological frontier at any given time, we improve the existing data envelopment analysis (DEA). Using this improved approach we decompose the growth of GDP per labor of 29 Chinese provinces for the years 1978—2000 into technical efficiency change, technological progress and accumulation of capital per labor. Barro's regression approach is then adopted to test Lin's hypothesis about the effects of development strategy on capital accumulation and on technological progress. Chinese experience tends to support this hypothesis.