我国居民收入、人口、教育、财政政策和货币政策与居民消费模型的实证分析

An epirical analysis on the model of Income,Population, Education,Policy and Consumption of Residents in China

本文从影响消费的各个因素:居民收入、人口、教育、国家宏观政策等着手,对各因素进行了相关分析,运用多元统计中的岭回归估计法建立消费模型。从定量和定性分析的角度,分析了我国居民消费水平、居民收入、人口增长率、各层次教育、国家财政支出和银行利率等相关因素之间相互影响的数量变动关系和内在规律,就如何提高居民消费水平促进经济协调发展提出若干对策。

The paper launches on the correlativity of each factor which influences consumption of residents ,We use the ridge regression analysis of the multivariate statistics, establishe the expenditure model. With quantitative and qualitative analysis,we analyze the quantity alterant relations of consumption with income,population ,education,government expenditures and interest rate on deposits. On this analysis ,we give some suggests to improve the consumption of residents.