中短期天气集合预报问题

Issues on Medium-short Range Ensemble Weather Forecast

集合预报从上个世纪九十年代兴起 ,目前已成为许多业务预报中心的重要业务之一 ,同时也成为研究的重要工具。系统介绍了全球模式中短期天气预报集合、有限区域模式短期天气预报集合以及集合预报在强风暴预报中的应用等 ,并对集合预报中应当注意的问题进行了阐述。

The ensemble forecast appeared in 90's of last century. It becomes an important operation of many meteorological centers and an important tool of research. The medium-short range ensemble forecast of the global NWP and limited area NWP models,and two application of ensemble forecast to severe weather are introduced,and related issues are discussed.