摘要
本文运用灰色系统理论的原理建立国际市场黄金价格带残差辩识的动态预测模型及回归预测模型,对未来十年国际黄金市场供需状况进行了预测及趋势分析。并对我国金矿的勘查与开发提出了建议。
By applying the Gray system theory the authors establi-shed a dynamic prediction model and a regressive prediction model ofGM (1, 1) price of the international gold market, with remains recogni-tion. These are used in the article for prediction and trend analysis of thesupply/demand situation of the international gold market in the comingten years. Suggestions for the development of China's gold resources arealso proposed.