基于不确定性分析技术的两种水质模型率定方法比较

Comparison between Two Calibration Methods for Water Quality Model Based on Uncertainty Analysis Technique

以澳门南湾湖为例,对一个小型湖泊水质模拟模型的基本结构功能进行了描述.并且在进行水质模拟过程中,比较了两种用于参数率定的不确定性分析算法,讨论了参数不确定性,以及传递到计算结果中对水质模拟的不确定性影响.

With the case study on Lake NamVam in Macao, the paper described the function and structure of water quality model for a small-scale lake. During the water quality simulation, two uncertainty analysis tools were attempted to calibrate model parameters, which was GLUE algorithm and HSY algorithm. According to uncertainty estimation of parameters, uncertainty transfer to simulation results was discussed.