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PREDICTING CHAOTIC TIME SERIES WITH IMPROVED LOCAL APPROXIMATIONS

PREDICTING CHAOTIC TIME SERIES WITH IMPROVED LOCAL APPROXIMATIONS
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摘要 In this paper, new approaches for chaotic time series prediction areintroduced. We first summarize and evaluate the existing local prediction models, then proposeoptimization models and new algorithms to modify procedures of local approximations. Themodification to the choice of sample sets is given, and the zeroth-order approximation is improvedby a linear programming method. Four procedures of first-order approximation are compared, andcorresponding modified methods are given. Lastly, the idea of nonlinear feedback to raise predictingaccuracy is put forward. In the end, we discuss two important examples, i.e. Lorenz system andRoessler system, and the simulation experiments indicate that the modified algorithms are effective.
出处 《Journal of Systems Science & Complexity》 SCIE EI CSCD 2004年第2期207-219,共13页 系统科学与复杂性学报(英文版)
关键词 chaotic time series PREDICTION local approximations linear programming nonlinear feedback 混沌时间序列 局部逼近 线性规划 反馈控制 Lorenz吸引子
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参考文献15

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