中国企业的进入退出——1985—2000年汽车与电冰箱产业的案例研究

Entry and Exit in Chinese Industry--Case Studies of Automobiles and Refrigerators During the Period 1985-2000

本文通过构建一个简单的模型来解释和度量企业的进入退出 ,并将该模型应用于 1 985— 2 0 0 0年期间中国两个重要产业———汽车制造业和电冰箱制造业的实证研究 ,目的在于阐明中国企业进入退出的真实原因 ,希望能对中国产业组织政策的制定贯彻有所启示。统计检验揭示了中国企业进入退出的某些真实特点 ,在此基础上得出了结论。

This paper is about entry and exit in Chinese industry. It constructs a simple model to explain and measure firms' entry and exit. It applies the model to two important industries during the period 1985-2000: motor vehicles and parts, and refrigerators. The aim is to clarify actual entry and exit, and also to throw light on China's industrial policies. The statistical tests show some features of actual entry and exit, and the paper concludes by assessing policies to restructure state-owned enterprises.