中长期电力负荷预测软件包的开发与应用

Development and Application of Power System Mid-long Term Load Forecasting Software Package

介绍所开发的中长期电力负荷预测软件包及应用。软件包提供了丰富的模型库 ,各模型可单独预测 ,也可选择几种模型进行综合预测 ,既提高了预测精度也增强了软件包在不同类型地区的适用性。软件包界面友好 ,操作方便 ,容错性强 ,提供联机帮助 ,输入输出形式灵活 ,支持打印 。

This paper mainly develops a software package for mid-long term load forecasting of power system.This software package provides friendly man-machine interface,online help,and convenient operations to meet requirements.It has flexible output methods such as report forms and graphics and support printing.The load forecasting module consists of many models and each model can be independently used or some of them can be combined for integrated forecasting.The models can be chosen according to different conditions and those results can be analyzed and compared to obtain the final result.This software package has already been applied in Jiangsu power system load forecasting.