西安市经济发展中短期预测模型研究

Study on Middle-short-period Prediction Model for Xi'an City's Economic Development

西安市经济发展中短期预测模型是以西安市经济发展中短期预测和规划为研究目标,针对西安市宏观经济管理的实际需要而研制的。阐述了模型的理论基础和结构设计,利用模型分析预测了西安市2003～2005年经济增长态势,并就相关问题及其局限做了说明。

The middle-short-period prediction model for Xi'an City's economic development is developed according to the real need of Xi'an City's macroscopic economic management that takes the middle-short-period prediction and planning of Xi'an City's economic development as the target. This paper expounds the theoretical foundation and structural design of this model, makes prediction of Xi'an City's economic growing situation in the period of 2003～2005 by using this model, and explains some relative problems and its limitation.