摘要
对我国自1979年至2002年国债规模及其影响因素进行协整及Granger因果关系分析,实证分析结果表明,国债规模与GDP、财政收支、固定资产投资规模及当年国债还本付息支出存在着协整关系,国债规模受GDP、财政收支影响,但反过来又影响了财政收支、固定资产投资规模及还本付息支出。
This paper analyzed the development of national debt and its relation to other factors such as GDP,financial revenue and expenditure, investment in fixed assets by state budgetary appropriation, and so on. It is found that national debt has been mainly caused by GDP,government expenditure and revenue from 1979 to 2002.
出处
《暨南学报（哲学社会科学版）》
CSSCI
2004年第2期40-44,49,共6页
Jinan Journal(Philosophy and Social Sciences)
