秭归县鸡鸣寺滑坡监测预报方法初报

Priliminary Report on Monitoring Landslide at Jimingsi Temple in Zigui County and Its Forecasting Method

鸡鸣寺大型滑坡,由于滑前开展了系统的监测工作,做到了预报准确、报警及时,极大地减少了滑坡损失。为验证滑坡监测预报的科学性,采用不稳定斜坡危险度判别法、滑坡位移历时曲线法进行了检验。结果表明,鸡鸣寺滑坡的监测预警、预报的准确性,具有一定的科学性和理论依据,其预报方法值得推广。

Due to the systematic work of monitoring before it took place, the Jimingsi large landslide had been correctly and timely forecasted and warned, damages were greatly reduced. Landslide is predicted by distin- guish the dangerous degree of unstable-slopes and verified by the method of landslide displacement-dura-tion curve. The method of monitoring and warning, and the accuracy prediction has its scientific and theorti-cal basis, so it is deserved to be spread.