东北亚国际运输通道

Construction of international transportation corridor in northeast asia

东北亚次区域是东亚经济区最具合作潜力的地区。但由于朝鲜半岛的政治问题,区域经济一体化合作进展缓慢。运输合作项目是推动东北亚区域经济一体化的一个很好的切入点。确定了东北亚次区域运输通道的交通区和构成,根据东北地区各国的资源禀赋以及政治体制、经济发展水平差异,分析目前运输通道存在的问题。通过相关因素分析,建立了相关的运输预测模型,对2010～2020年各国之间的集装箱运输量进行了预测,并确定了转移量,认为未来东北亚运输通道将存在巨大的运输需求。

Northeast asia sub-region is an area that has most cooperation potentiality in east asia.But because of the political problem of Korean peninsula,the cooperation progress of region economic integration is slow. Transport cooperation project is an entering point,which will drive the region economic integration.This paper defined the transport location and structure of international transportation corridor in northeast asia. According to the difference of economic resources,political system and economy development level of all countries in northeast asia,the problems of current transportation corridor was analyzed. Through the related factors analysis,the transport predict models was developed.With this model,the containers of inter-country at 2010 to 2020 was predicted,the transport shift was determined.It was pointed out that there are great transportation demands in future.