年代际气候变化的研究进展

Advance in Study of Decadal Climate Variability

年代际气候变化是月、季、年际气候变化及预测的背景。20世纪90年代以来,年代际气候变化的研究引起了国内外学者的极大关注,开展了大量富有成效的研究工作。本文从大气环流、中国气温和降水、海洋以及海气系统等4个方面对年代际气候变化的研究进展进行了总结,提出了年代际气候变化,尤其是东亚地区的年代际气候变化研究需要进一步解决的科学问题。

Decadal climate variation provides a background for climate change and its prediction at monthly, seasonal and annunal scales. Since 1990s of the 20th century, researches regarding the decadal climate variation have been paid great attention by scientists around the world, and lots of important achievements have been acquired in this field. In this paper, advance in the studies of decadal climate variation is summarized from the following aspects, i.e., atmospheric general circulation, air temperature and precipitation in China, Ocean and air-sea system. Proposed are the scientific problems in reasearches in decadal climate variation, especially that over East Asia, which are await for further exploration.