银行跨国并购中风险变动实证研究

An Empirical Analysis of the Variation of Risks in Cross-border M&A of Banks

从银行跨国并购与银行并购的比重来看,银行跨国并购远远不是银行并购的主流模式。不过2000年以后,银行跨国并购的数量越来越多,逐步成为跨国并购的热点。无论从总风险还是系统风险的角度来看,都没有证据证明银行跨国并购会直接暴露或增大两国银行的系统风险。银行跨国并购不会破坏银行系统的稳定性,也不会增加国际银行业的破产风险。

From its percentage, cross-border M&A of banks is far from being the mainstream of M&A of banks. But there have been increasing cross-border M&A of banks since 2000, becoming a central issue in cross-border M&A. Whether from the perspective of overall risks or that of system risks, there has been no evidence to show that cross-border M&A of banks will directly expose or expand the system risks of the banks in two countries. Cross-border M&A of banks will neither destroy the stability of the banking system nor increase its destructive risks to the international banking industry.