中国农户农业投资实证研究

An Authentic Study of the Chinese Peasant Households'Investment

对改革开放以来农户对农业的投资状况和投资行为进行了分析。农户由于历史、生存和安全的因素一直没有停止对农业的投资。但是 ,研究表明 ,近年来 ,农户对农业的投资在数量上、增长幅度、投资结构及在其总体投资的份额上都有所变化 ,总体上呈现萎缩和恶化的状况。原因是农业收入增长速度降低、农民生活消费支出的增加、农业生产资料价格上涨、农田水利等基础设施条件差及农业比较利益低下等因素导致农民对农业的投资预期降低 ,抑制了其对农业的投资冲动和投资行为。因此 ,采取措施 ,提高农业比较利益 ,从而提高农民对农业的投资预期 ,形成良性投入产出循环机制 。

This paper analyses the peasant households'investment situation and their investment behaviour since the policy of reform and opening to the outside world.Because of such factors as history,survival and safety peasant households have never stopped inˉvestment in agriculture.Studies have shown,however,that the peasant households'investment behaviour in agriculture has changed whether in the aspect of amount,increase range,structure or ratio to the total investment.The peasant households'investment in aˉgriculture has totally taken on shrinkage and deterioration.The reason is such factors as the dropping speed of agricultural income inˉcrease,the increasing expenditure for farmers'living consumption,the rising prices of means of agricultural production,the poor agriˉcultural infrastructure,the low constant bendfits from agriculture and so on lead to the consequence that farmers'investment exˉpectancy in agriculture decreases,and as a result check peasant households'investment impulse in agriculture and their investment behaviour.Therefore,it is of much importance to take steps to improve agricultural constant benefits and thereby strengthen farmers'investment expectancy in agriculture and build a benign circulatory mechanism of input and output.