论研究奥运经济影响的思路与方法

The Methodology and Thinking of Assessment of Olympic Impacts on Economy

北京 2 0 0 8年奥运会将对首都经济产生重要的影响。研究奥运对经济影响的思路和方法主要包括 :首先 ,从空间范围和时间维度上界定“奥运的经济影响”。其次 ,确定研究思路或技术路线。再次 ,如何把奥运的经济影响从有关经济指标的数值中分离出来。最后 ,确定研究框架。在这个框架内 ,可以把奥运对经济的影响区分为一般影响和特殊影响 ,并把奥运的经济影响分解为若干个主题来进行研究。

The Olympic Games of Beijing 2008 will exert a great influence on the Capital's economy. The methodology and thinking of assessment of Olympic impacts on economy should include firstly to define Olympic impacts on economy in space and the duration of time;secondly to fix the thinking of study or technological line;thirdly,how to separate the effects of Olympic impacts on economy based on related economic data and finally,to confirm a frame of assessment. We lould divide the effects of Olympic impacts on economy into the general effects and special effects,and assess Olympic impacts on economy by ways of a series of subjects in the frame.