多状态与多分块机组的随机生产模拟

A PROBABILISTIC PRODUCTION COSTING FOR MULTISTATES AND MULTIBLOCKS OF UNITS

本文讨论了多状态与多分块机组的随机生产模拟,用多正态分布来表示负荷与系统出力,然后直接导出各机组发电量、可靠性等指标的解析公式。数字算例表明该方法是一种准确、快速的算法。

A probabilistic production costing method for multistates and multiblocks of units is presented in this paper. The mixtures of normal distributions are used to represent the power of the system and the load. The energy, reliability and production costs are calculated directly from the analytical formulae. Numeral examples demonstrate that the algorithm presented in the paper is accurate and efficient.