土地整理立项决策评估的指标体系与方法探讨

Research on index system and method of project evaluation for decision-making in land consolidation

土地整理立项决策评估是进行科学投资决策、正确选择整理项目的基础。根据我国土地整理产业发展现状,在深入分析与土地整理立项决策评估相关的社会、经济、技术、生态和组织管理等多种因子的基础上,初步构建了我国土地整理立项决策评估指标体系。运用可拓学中的物元理论和优度评价法,设立了土地整理立项决策评估的综合评判物元模型,给出了基于关联函数的可拓评估方法,并以国土资源部土地整理中心备选项目库的项目进行实例验证。模型输出的结果与项目评审专家组对各项目可行性的实际评估结论完全吻合。研究结果为土地整理立项决策提供了科学依据。

Decision-making for approving a project of land consolidation plays an important role in scientific investment decision-making and choosing consolidation project properly.According to the actuality of land consolidation industry in China,such factors were deeply researched as society, economy, technology,ecology,organization of management and so on,which had tightly relations to decision-making for approving a project in land consolidation.And the framework of evaluation index system was initially formed for project decision-making in land consolidation. Then using the matter-element theory and superiority evaluation method,the paper designs the matter-element of comprehensive evaluation for decision-making in land consolidation,and puts forward the extension evaluation method based on correlation function.Finally taking some projects from in preparative projects database of the Consolidation & Rehabilitation Center in Ministry of Land and Resources as examples,verification was carried out.The output of the model completely accords with the results made by specialists of the project evaluation.The conclusion can provide scientific basis of decision-making for approving a project in land consolidation.