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人民币均衡汇率估计:粘性价格目标区模型方法 被引量:6

Estimating Equilibrium Exchange Rate of Renminbi—A Method of Target Scope of Sticky Price Model
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摘要 The managed floating exchange rate system is one of special manifestations of target zone system,and actually it is a quasi-target zone system. Hence RMB equilibrium exchange rate may be estimated by use of the method of exchange rate target zone model. At present,the sticky-price model is one of best models,and it is a extension of flex-price model. The model is based on assumptions of price inertia and output decided by demand. Under those assumptions and the condition of the commodity and the currency market equilibrium,a stochastic differential equation may be established,and in the light of the equation,we may get a exchange rate function. Our research indicates a good outcome may be made,applying the sticky-price model to estimate RMB equilibrium exchange rate. The managed floating exchange rate system is one of special manifestations of target zone system,and actually it is a quasi-target zone system. Hence RMB equilibrium exchange rate may be estimated by use of the method of exchange rate target zone model. At present,the sticky-price model is one of best models,and it is a extension of flex-price model. The model is based on assumptions of price inertia and output decided by demand. Under those assumptions and the condition of the commodity and the currency market equilibrium,a stochastic differential equation may be established,and in the light of the equation,we may get a exchange rate function. Our research indicates a good outcome may be made,applying the sticky-price model to estimate RMB equilibrium exchange rate.
作者 窦祥胜 杨炘
出处 《统计研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2004年第4期55-59,共5页 Statistical Research
基金 国家自然科学基金课题<人民币均衡汇率研究>的前期阶段性的初步研究成果之一。项目编号 :70 173 0 0 6
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