第28、29届奥运会中国田径势力分析

Analysis on Power of China Track and Field For the 28th and the 29th Olympic Games

运用文献资料、专家访谈、数理统计和逻辑推理等法 ,通过对我国田径运动员参加第 2 3～2 7届奥运会比赛名次 ,1998年～ 2 0 0 3年田径各单项进入世界前 5 0位的人数、近几年青少年运动员在世界大赛上取得的成绩 ,以及参加 1～ 9届世界田径锦标赛的成绩进行分析与研究 ,制定出我国在 2 8、2 9届奥运会上田径夺取金牌数、奖牌数、团体总分、世界排名的目标。研究目的是为了尽快摆脱我国在奥运“金牌大户”田径项目上的落后面貌 ,并为之成为奥运“金牌增长点”提供科学的理论依据。

By using means literature study, expert interview, mathematical statistics and logic reasoning, the Chinese athletes take part in from the 23th Olympic Games to the 27th Olympic Games was obtained position in a name and the number of athletes entering the first 50 in world track and field, items from 1998 to 2003 as well as the achievements of juvenile athletes in the world games and the Chinese athletes was joined the results of from the 1th to the 9th the World track and field Championships were analysis and study. A strategic plan of gold medals, medals and team scores for the Chinese athletes to win at the next two Olympic Games was formulated. The purpose of this research focuses on how to shake off the backwardness of track and field events of “the most gold medal winners” for China and provide scientific theory reference for it being “increase point gold medals”.