经济增长 需求上升 世界石油石化市场全面走强——2004年一季度评述及二季度展望

Economic Growth and Rising Demand Bringing an Overall Booming-up of World' s Petrochemical Market --A Review of the First Quarter and the Prospect of the second quarter in 2004

2004年一季度,世界石油需求急剧增长、美国石油商业库存严重不足、OPEC执意继续实施减产措施, 致使供需关系紧张,油价居高不下。二季度世界石油需求依然强劲,石油低库存、价格高位振荡已成 定局。同时,世界石化市场也随世界经济复苏步伐加快,逐步走出了多年疲软的境地。由于供应能力 不足,难以满足需求的上升,致使一季度石化品价格一路上涨。二季度各地石化装置集中检修,使石 化市场供需更趋紧张,市场行情仍将上扬。

The first quarter of 2004 saw a world' s drastic increase in its demand for oil ,and there has been, as a result, a severe deficiency of American commercial oil inventory. OPEC insists on continuing its output-reducing implementation, resulting in a stead fast high oil price and tightened supply-demand relationship. The second quarter will continue to experience world' s rising demand for oil,low oil inventory and high-level oil price fluctuation. Meanwhile, world petrochemical market revives quickly with global economic recovery, gradually shaking off its years' s slack status. The continuous going-up of oil price in the first quarter was due to supply shortage and failure to meet growing demand. And owing to maintenance of petrochemical plants across the world, supply-demand relationship worsens and market prices will continue to rise.