我国中央空调的节能潜力预测

THE ENERGY SAVINGS POTENTIAL FORECAST FOR CENTRAL AIR-CONDITIONER IN CHINA

本文建立了中央空调节能预测模型。假设实施了中央空调能效标准 ,利用这一模型预测了 2 0 0 3年至 2 0 2 0年中国中央空调的节能量 ,2 0 2 0年CO2 、SO2 、NOx 及粉尘的累计减排量。分析了制定中央空调能效标准的必要性以及实施这一标准有可能获得的好处。

This paper establishes an energy savings forecast model for central air-conditioner.Provided that the energy efficiency standards for central air-conditioners are put into practice,the authors use this model to predict the energy savings and the cumulative reduction of CO 2,SO 2,NO x and ash emitted by coal-fired power stations which generate electricity to drive central air-conditioners in China from 2003 to 2020.In addition, the paper analyzes the need to establish the energy efficiency standards for central air-conditioners and the benefits resulting from these standards in the future.