基于PD-效用函数的风险决策方法

Decision-Making for Military Risks Based on the PD-Utility Function

针对决策领域的风险特点,以偏尾分布[2,3]为基础,提出了具有一般意义的PD-效用函数。该效用函数可以充分反映决策者的风险偏好特征,估算风险决策效用的平均预期收益、平均预期利润及相应的风险程度,实现独特的风险决策与评估。

In this paper,according to the traits of military risks decision-making,the authors put forward a general PD-utility function based on the partial distribution ().By using the PD-utility function,a decision maker's attitude to military risks can be sufficiently reflected,and all the expected average income,the expected average profit and the corresponding risk can be estimated.The methods of military risks decision-making are given on PD-utility.