摘要
Risk analysis has become more and more important in practical application, but there has not been a widely accepted frame work and model for the research. Motivated by factor analysis method and Kaplan-Garrick's quantitative definition of risk, a general risk model was established based on analyzing risk situations and employing information system and evidence theory, and Kaplan-Garrick's result was improved to introduce a frame word for analyzing and managing risk.
Risk analysis has become more and more important in practical application, but there has not been a widely accepted frame work and model for the research. Motivated by factor analysis method and Kaplan-Garrick's quantitative definition of risk, a general risk model was established based on analyzing risk situations and employing information system and evidence theory, and Kaplan-Garrick's result was improved to introduce a frame word for analyzing and managing risk.