新疆石河子市人口预测及分析

Population Speculation of Shihezi and Its Analyses

该文主要运用计量经济学、统计学的有关方法,以及系统工程的理论观点,直接从宏观层面,以定量为主、定性为辅,探讨了新疆石河子市经济总量、资源水平对人口影响,以及由此决定的人口规模,又从国民经济、环境、资源、人口之间的模型中预测出2010年人口规模,在宏观领域的规划中具有一定的参考作用。

Through the methods of econometrics and statistics, based on,the theory of system engineering, this paper explores the influence of economic amount and natural resources level on the scale of the population in Shihezi city.It also from the macro level, uses quantitative analysis as the primary way and qualitative analysis as the secondary way. In addition, it speculates the scale of the population of Shihezi in 2010 according to the models of national economy, environment, natural resources and population, so that it will be helpful to the macro-planning.