攻击机首攻概率模型

Research on Probability Model of Attacker Completing Mission for the First Time

攻击机在首次进入攻击时完成作战任务的概率(首攻概率)是评估空军武器进攻装备作战效能的基础。从无对抗情况下攻击机的作战过程入手,分析建立了攻击机机载空地武器可攻击区的数学模型,在此基础上建立了无对抗情况下攻击机的首攻概率模型,并对所建立的概率模型进行了有效性分析。

The probability model of attacker completing mission for the first time is a base for the operational effectiveness assessment for the weapon systems of air force.In this paper,the authors first analyze operation process of the attacker assaulting the ground target,then,after discussing assaultable area of the airborne air-to-ground weapon,construct the probability model of attacker completing mission for the first time without withstanded by the defense.Finally,analyze the validity of the probability model.