中国资本外逃规模的测算方法研究

Research on Calculation Method for China's Capital Escape

本文首先对资本外逃的基本测算方法进行了评述,接着广泛参照了国内学术界测算中国资本外逃规模的方法。在此基础上,根据中国资本外逃的特定状况,通过调整间接测算法的基本公式,形成了一种比较完善的测算模型,最后使用该模型对1992-2002年中国的资本外逃规模展开了实证研究,并对测算的结果和变化趋势进行了分析。

This essay first makes a comment on the elementary calculation method for capital escape. Then it makes a wide reference to the Chinese domestic academic methods to measure the scale of China's capital escape. On the basis of these, by adjusting the basic formula of indirect measurement it establishes a comparatively perfect calculation model in light of the special situation of China's capital escape. Finally it adopts this model to carry out an empirical study on the scale of China's capital escape during 1992-2002 and makes an analysis on the results and change trends.