林龄空间理论与减反率法应用初探——湖南省会同集体林区森林采伐量预估研究

AN APPROACH FOR USING THE AGE-CLASS-SPACE THEORY AND THE GENTAN PROBABILITY METHOD--PREDICTING STANDARD CUT OF THE COLLECTIVE-OWNED FOREST IN HUITONG COUNTY

本文以会同县过去5年森林采伐情况为例,论证了应用林龄空间理论——减反率法预估集体林采伐量的可能性,并提供一个线性规划经营方案作为对照。通过比较,认为在规划期较长的条件下,减反率法预估采伐量与线性规划方案所得收获量一致。

Through the study and analsis to the forest standard cut in the past five years in Huitong County in Hunan Province, this paper proved that the Age-Class-Space theory and the Gentan probability method are of use for predicting yield of the collective-owned forest in China. A result of linear programming was provided in order to prove the feasibility of the Gentan probability method. The result proved there are not remarkable differences between standard cut from linear programming and standard cut from the Gentan probability when the planning period lasts a long time. Finally, the paper deals with some problems about the Gentan probability.