青年流动人口迁移意愿研究——基于社会融入视角

Research on the Migration Willingness of Young Floating Population—Based on the Perspective of Social Integration

中国已经进入“移民时代”,青年流动人口作为城市发展中较为关键的一环,他们对于一座城市的选择将会大大影响这座城市未来经济、社会和文化的发展。本文运用中国流动人口动态监测调查(CMDS2017)数据,使用二元logistic回归分析,基于社会融入视角来探索青年流动人口对迁入地长期迁移意愿的影响及内在逻辑。本研究结果发现:1) 社会融入中参与社区或城市治理对青年流动人口的长期迁移意愿的确有促进作用。2) 户口性质和性别会影响青年流动人口的长期迁移意愿,其中非农业户口和女性的永久迁移意愿相对来说较高。3) 教育年限对青年流动人口的长期迁移意愿有促进作用,并对高学历人才来说影响更大。

China has entered the “immigration era”. As a key part of urban development, young floating population’s choice of a city will greatly affect the future economic, social and cultural development of the city. Based on the data of China Migrants Dynamic Monitoring Survey (CMDS2017), this paper uses binary logistic regression analysis to explore the influence and internal logic of young floating population on the long-term migration intention of migrant areas from the perspective of social integration. The results of this study show that: 1) Participation in community or urban governance in social integration does promote the long-term migration willingness of young floating population. 2) The nature of household registration and gender will affect the long-term migration willingness of young floating population, among which non-agricultural household registration and women’s permanent migration willingness are relatively high. 3) The years of education will indeed promote the long-term migration willingness of young floating population, and have a greater impact on highly educated talents.