气象条件和空气污染物对邮轮延误时长的影响——基于逐步回归分析

Impact of Meteorological Conditions and Air Pollutants on Cruise Delay—Based on Stepwise Regression Analysis

邮轮旅游是休闲旅游中增长最快的部分,邮轮旅游业是极其脆弱和敏感的行业,极易受外部环境的影响和突发事件的冲击。研究气象条件和空气污染物对邮轮延误的影响对于规避邮轮运营的经济损失有着举足轻重的意义,因此,本文采用逐步回归分析影响邮轮延误时长的气象条件和空气污染物,结果发现:降水量、风速、能见度和CO浓度是主要影响邮轮延误时长的影响因素,并且随着降水量的增加,风速的增强和CO浓度的增大,还有能见度降低,邮轮的延误时长会越来越长。

Cruise tourism is the fastest growing part of leisure tourism. Cruise tourism is an extremely fragile and sensitive industry, which is very vulnerable to the impact of external environment and emergencies. Studying the impact of meteorological conditions and air pollutants on cruise delay is of great significance to avoid the economic loss of cruise operation. Stepwise regression analysis is used to analyze the meteorological conditions and air pollutants affecting the duration of cruise delay. The results show that precipitation, wind speed, visibility and Co are the main factors affecting the delay time of cruise ships. With the increase of precipitation, the increase of wind speed and Co, and the decrease of visibility, the delay time of cruise ships will be longer and longer.