儿子养老好还是女儿养老好?

Is It Better for the Son or theDaughter to Provide for the Aged?

论文使用2012年中国老年社会追踪调查(China Longitudinal Aging Social Survey,简称CLASS调查项目)数据,探讨老年人认为儿子养老好还是女儿养老好,以此来认识老年人群体的独特性,从而预测出未来老年人对此的认同度并提出相关的政策建议。基于本文所选取的因变量为二元分类变量,因此,本文选用二元Logistic回归模型进行分析。结果表明,与城市老年人相比,农村老年人总体上更趋向于认同儿子养老好。同时,儿女双全的女性老年人更趋向于认同女儿养老好。此外,与受教育水平较高的老年人相比,受教育水平较低的老年人更趋向于认同儿子养老好。因此,要平衡我国城乡之间的养老差别,降低农村老年人对家庭养老的依赖。另外,发展适合老年人的教育模式,并促进老年人之间的互动帮扶,满足老年人的心理需求。

This paper uses data from the China Longitudinal Aging Social Survey 2012, to discuss whether the elderly think it is better for sons or daughters to provide for the aged, in order to understand the uniqueness of the elderly group, so as to predict the recognition degree of the elderly in the future and put forward relevant policy suggestions. The dependent variable selected in this paper is a binary classification variable, so the binary Logistic regression model is used for analysis in this paper. The results show that compared with the urban elderly, the rural elderly tend to agree that it is better for their sons to provide for the aged in general. At the same time, older women who have both children tend to agree that daughters are good for supporting the aged. In addition, older people with lower education levels were more likely to agree that sons are better for the aged than those with higher education levels. Therefore, it is necessary to balance the pension difference between urban and rural areas, and reduce the rural elderly’s dependence on family endowment. In addition, education models suitable for the elderly should be developed. And promote the interaction between the elderly, and help to meet the psychological needs of the elderly.