公共服务满意度、社会公平感对基层民主选举中的投票参与的影响——基于CGSS 2015数据的实证分析

The Impact of Public Service Satisfaction and Social Justice on Voting Participation in Grassroots Democratic Elections—Based on CGSS 2015 Data

基层民主选举投票是公民最基本、最普遍的参与活动,对夯实人民群众自治中的主体地位具有重要意义。文章基于2015年CGSS数据,采用logistic回归模型,从公共服务满意度和社会公平感这两个主观感知因素切入,深入分析其对基层民主选举中投票参与行为的影响。结果表明,在公共服务满意度层面上,该变量会显著影响公民的投票行为,即随着公民对公共服务满意度的上升,参与投票的可能性更高。此外,在社会公平感方面,相对于社会公平感较低或者说对社会公平无感的人群而言,其投票参与积极性低于高社会公平感知的人群。

Grassroots democratic elections are the most basic and common participation activities for citizens, and are of great significance to consolidating the dominant position of the people in self-governance. Based on the CGSS data in 2015, this paper uses the logistic regression model to analyze the influ-ence of the two subjective perception factors of public service satisfaction and social fairness on voting participation in grassroots democratic elections. The results show that at the level of public service satisfaction, this variable will significantly affect citizens’ voting behavior, that is, with the increase of citizens’ satisfaction with public services, the possibility of participating in voting is higher. In addition, in terms of sense of social justice, compared with people with a low sense of so-cial justice or no sense of social justice, their enthusiasm for voting participation is lower than that of people with a high sense of social justice.