论犯罪地理画像的可行性:以白银高承勇连环杀人案为例

Discussion on the Feasibility of Geographical Portrait of Crime: Taking Serial Murder Cases by Chengyong Gao in Baiyin as an Example

犯罪地理画像,又称地理学的犯罪心理画像,它是一种用于分析刻画系列犯罪和暴力变态杀手的方法,它通过对系列案件的犯罪地点分析,进而判断犯罪嫌疑人最可能的居住区域。本文以发生在甘肃省白银市的“高承勇连环变态杀人案”为例,采用文献分析法、案例分析法、图表法、模型法等方法,围绕理论基础、信度和效度、专业人员和专业软件以及成本和收益四大方面论证犯罪地理画像的可行性。经过论证可以肯定,犯罪地理画像自有其存在的价值,它是一种具有可行性的刑事侦查方法,在与其他侦查手段结合使用的情况下,能够更高效地侦破犯罪。

Geographical portrait of crime,also known as psychological portrait of crime in geography,is a method to analyze and depict serial crimes and violent abnormal killers.It determines the most likely living area of the suspect through the analysis of the crime location of a series of cases.Using literature analysis,case analysis,charts and models,this research took serial murder cases by Chengyong Gao in Baiyin for instance to prove its feasibility on four aspects:theoretical basis,reliability and validity,professionals and professional software as well as costs and benefits.Through the demonstration,it can be confirmed that the geographical portrait of crime has its own value of existence,and it is a feasible criminal investigation method.In combination with other means of investigation,it can be more efficient in the detection of crime.