摘要
2021年中国人口自然增长率为0.34‰,2022年中国人口自然增长率为−0.60‰,正式进入人口负增长时代,人口老龄化持续加速,对经济增长的影响程度加深。本文运用多元回归分析对贵州省影响经济增长的各种因素进行分析,并提供相关建议,在人口老龄化的背景之下,促进经济健康发展。研究结果表明:经过逐步回归分析剔除具有偶然性的各个影响因素之后,经济增长与城镇化水平成正相关,与固定资产投资成负相关。
In 2021, the natural population growth rate in China was 0.34‰, while in 2022, the natural population growth rate was −0.60‰. China has officially entered the era of negative population growth, and the aging population continues to accelerate, deepening its impact on economic growth. This article uses multiple regression analysis to analyze various factors that affect economic growth in Guizhou Province, and provides relevant suggestions to promote healthy economic development in the context of aging population. The results show that after the stepwise regression analysis removes the various factors with contingency, economic growth is positively related to the level of urbanization, and negatively related to fixed assets investment.
出处
《老龄化研究》
2023年第4期1204-1210,共7页
Aging Research
