新中国七十年经济增长方式转型的阶段性分析

A Phased Analysis of the Transformation of the Economic Growth Mode in the Seventy Years of New China

新中国成立70年,经济持续高速增长的同时,经济增长方式没有发生本质上的改变。粗放型经济增长不可持续,集约型增长是不二选择。本文首先剖析四个阶段经济增长方式的特征,发现新中国成立70年来的经济增长主要还是依赖于要素投入的增长,粗放的经济增长方式还未根本改变;然后阐述经济增长方式转型的必要性——不但是现阶段中国经济发展的外在压力,更是内在诉求。最后结合经济发展的实践经验,从可持续发展的角度对中国经济增长方式的未来转型提出了战略选择和政策建议。

During seventy years after the founding of New China, the economy continued to grow at a high speed while the economic growth pattern did not change substantially. Extensive economic growth is not sustainable, and intensive growth is the only choice. This article first analyzes the characteristics of the four-stage economic growth mode and finds that the economic growth in the 70 years since the founding of New China is still mainly dependent on the growth of factor inputs, and the extensive economic growth mode has not been fundamentally changed. The necessity of economic growth mode transformation is not only the external pressures on China’s economic development at this stage, but also internal demands. Finally, combined with the practical experience of economic development, it puts forward strategic choices and policy recommendations for the future transformation of China’s economic growth mode from the perspective of sustainable development.