广西差异化碳减排路径分析研究

Analysis of Differentiated Carbon Emission Reduction Paths in Guangxi

确定广西碳排放的影响因素,有助广西探索“双碳”目标实现路径。文章从广西各个地级市出发,以2006~2019年为研究期,分析了2006~2019年广西各个地级市碳排放总量、能源消费总量、单位GDP碳排放、人均GDP变化趋势等,发现广西各个地级市仍存在高耗能低收入、能源技术水平欠佳等问题。通过聚类分析,运用K-均值聚类法,将广西各个地级市划分为4类,分别提出制定相关政策提高人口素质、大力发展绿色技术、着力推进产业持续转型,优化能源结构来减少碳排放总量。

Determining the influencing factors of carbon emission in Guangxi will help Guangxi explore the path to realize the “dual carbon” goal. Starting from prefecture-level cities in Guangxi and taking 2006~2019 as the research period, this paper analyzes the change trends of total carbon emission, total energy consumption, carbon emission per unit GDP and per capita GDP of prefecture-level cities in Guangxi during 2006~2019, and finds that there are still problems such as high energy con-sumption and low income and poor energy technology level in prefecture-level cities in Guangxi. Through cluster analysis, K-means clustering method was used to divide prefecture-level cities in Guangxi into four categories. Relevant policies were proposed to improve population quality, vigorously develop green technology, promote sustainable industrial transformation, and optimize energy structure to reduce total carbon emissions.