小宗农产品价格变动机制研究

Research on Large-Volume Agricultural Product Prices Change Mechanism

小宗农产品价格受多种因素影响,属于一个复杂性的系统,以CAS复杂适应系统思想作为理论指导,建立了小宗农产品市场理论模型。首先,对小宗农产品价格波动机制的成因进行分析。然后,采用复杂适应系统理论和反馈方法探究小宗农产品市场产品价格变动机理,抽象出一个数学系统方程来阐述小宗农产品市场价格变动机理的理论模型。之后,对市场中间商主体之间的策略跳转进行分析。最后,指出小宗农产品市场价格变动的主要因素,小宗农产品市场价格会对市场上超额需求做出反应,进而不断调整价格。得出的结论可以为进一步研究提供理论依据。

Large-volume agricultural product prices were effected by many factors, which is a complex sys-tem, the complex adaptive system ideas as a theoretical guidance to build a large-volume agricultural product market theoretical model. First, analysis the causes of the large-volume agricultural product prices change mechanism. Then, use the complex adaptive system theory and feedback method to explore the large-volume agricultural product market prices change mechanism, abstract out a mathematical system equation to de-scribe the theoretical model. After then, analysis the strategy jump between the market reseller principles. Finally, point out the main factors of the large-volume agricultural product market price movement, the prices will respond to the market excess demond and constantly adjust the price. The conclusion can provide theo-retical basis for further research.