中国对“一带一路”沿线国家纺织品服装出口贸易潜力研究

Research on Export Potential of Textile and Garment from China to Countries along the “Belt and Road”

本文考察了2002~2019年间中国的纺织品服装出口的贸易情况,并利用随机前沿引力模型,把制度距离等因素引入贸易非效率项,研究中国对“一带一路”沿线国家纺织品服装出口的贸易效率及潜力。结果表明,中国纺织品服装出口的贸易效率和潜力存在国别和地区的差异性,贸易效率水平在样本期内有所上升;制度距离对贸易效率水平有显著的负向影响,而“一带一路”倡议和自由贸易协定对中国纺织品服装的出口有显著的促进作用。

This paper investigates China’s textile and garment exports from 1992 to 2009. Based on stochastic frontier gravity model, institutional distance is introduced into the trade inefficiency item. This study empirically analyzes the trade efficiency and potential of China’s textile and garments export to countries along the “Belt and Road” from 2002 to 2019. The results show that there are differences in the trade efficiency and potential of China’s textile and garment exports between countries and regions, and the level of trade efficiency has increased in the sample period;Institutional distance has a significant negative impact on the level of trade efficiency. The Belt and Road Initiative and free trade agreement have a significant effect on the export of China’s textile and garment.