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基于环比增长的销售统计分析——2019年中青杯全国数学建模竞赛C题

Statistical Analysis of Sales Based on Sequential Growth—2019 Zhongqing Cup National Mathematical Contest in Modeling C Question
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摘要 文章首先利用入数标准化公式对2016~2018年的产品销售数据进行标准化处理,统计分析得出A、C、E三类产品在不同时间不同地区的销售标准箱数从大到小依次为E、A、C,受网购等因素的影响MT销售渠道销售逐渐萎缩;再次建立季度环比增长率预测模型,利用极差公式的方法预测出2019年六个地区第二季度的环比增长率的范围;最后在假设成本不变的情况下,对调价的合理性进行统计分析。 Firstly, this paper standardizes the sales data of 2016~2018 years by using the formula of input standardization. According to the statistical analysis, the number of standard containers sold for products A, C and E in different regions at different times is E, A and C in descending order. Influ-enced by online shopping and other factors, MT sales channels are gradually shrinking;the model of quarter-on-quarter growth rate prediction is established again, and the range of quar-ter-on-quarter growth rate of six regions in the second quarter of 2019 is predicted by the method of range formula. Finally, under the assumption of constant cost, the rationality of price adjustment is analyzed statistically.
出处 《建模与仿真》 2021年第1期218-226,共9页 Modeling and Simulation
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